基于农业现代化的农业保险服务体系建设

“十八大”报告提出未来我国农业发展要走新型农业现代化之路。农业现代化将带来农业生产方式的根本转变,即传统农业向现代农业转变。以规模化、机械化、专业化和产业化为特征的现代农业将催生包括全面风险保障、金融、技术与信息服务在内的多样化的农业保险需求。而现行的农业保险不能有效满足新的保险需求,这就要求农业保险创新服务内容和服务方式,即未来农业保险要向农业综合服务转变,为促成这一转变,需要针对现行农业保险服务体系存在的问题从六个方面来完善农业保险服务体系建设。     

军用航空发动机使用可靠性方法研究

对航空发动机现有可靠性评估方法进行优化改进,并以某型国产军用发动机为例进行使用可靠性评估。改进后的评估方法采用两种常用参数估计法,分别对薄弱系统故障数据进行三参数威布尔分布、单参数指数分布、双参数指数分布、正态分布及对数正态分布参数估计,随后采用柯尔莫哥洛夫检验及线性化处理并结合matlab编程进行优化选择。     

π-TFSK时频调制信号状态迁移的分析

本文主要对π－ＴＦＳＫ时频调制信号的状态迁移进行分析。首先，从数学模型出发，对π－ＴＦＳＫ时频调制信号的状态进行分析；然后，推出了该信号的状态迁移图；最后求出了π－ＴＦＳＫ时频调制信号的状态迁移矩阵。     

分布式测控环境下的实时通信研究

面向服务于航空试验的测控系统，提出了通过构架分布式测控环境的方法实现航空测控系统集成的构想，分析了航空试验测控系统中实时通信的特殊性，设计了基于以太网络的实时通信协议，并在此协议之上实现了分布式测控环境下的实时通信服务。     

Noise analysis of continuous GPS coordinate time series for CMONOC

The Crustal Movement Observation Network of China (CMONOC) is one of the major scientific infrastructures, mainly using Global Positioning System (GPS) measurements, to monitor crustal deformation in the Chinese mainland. In this paper, decade-long coordinate time series of 26 continuous GPS sites of CMONOC are analyzed for their noise content using maximum likelihood estimation (MLE). We study the noise properties of continuous GPS time series of CMONOC for the unfiltered, filtered solutions and also the common mode signals in terms of power law plus white noise model. In the spatial filtering, we remove for every time series a common mode error that was estimated from a modified stacking of position residuals from other sites within ∼1000 km of the selected site. We find that the common mode signal in our network has a combination of spatially correlated flicker noise and a common white noise with large spatial extent. We demonstrate that for the unfiltered solutions of CMONOC continuous GPS sites the main colored noise is a flicker process, with a mean spectral index of ∼1. For the filtered solutions, the main colored noise is a general power law process, indicating that a major number of the filtered regional solutions have a combination of noise sources or local effects. The velocity uncertainties from CMONOC continuous GPS coordinate time series may be underestimated by factors of 8–16 if a pure white noise model is assumed. In addition, using a white plus flicker noise model, the median values of velocity errors for the unfiltered solutions are 0.16 (north), 0.17 (east) and 0.58 (vertical) mm/yr, and the median values for the filtered solutions are 0.09 (north), 0.10 (east) and 0.40 (vertical) mm/yr.     

飞行器太阳能源计算方法CSCD

介绍了空间飞行器典型电源系统组成,通过对影响太阳能源输出的各项参数因素分析,提出了空间飞行器太阳能源计算方法,该方法包括由功率计算所需太阳阵面积的公式和由太阳阵面积计算输出功率的公式,达到了准确计算太阳能源的效果,解决了以往空间飞行器太阳能源估算误差大,在总体回路设计中电源参数难以闭环的问题。     

Global Environmental Alert Service (GEAS)

Early warning systems represent an innovative and effective approach to mitigate the risk associated with natural hazards. Early warning technologies are now available for almost all natural hazards and systems are already in operation in all parts of the world. Nevertheless, recent disasters such as the Indian Ocean tsunami in 2004 and Katrina hurricane in 2005, highlighted inadequacies in early warning technologies.

Efforts towards the development of a global warning system are necessary for turning the tide in early warning processes and technologies. There is a pressing need for a globally comprehensive early warning system based on existing systems. The global system should be a mechanism which can consolidate scientific information and evidences, package this knowledge in a form usable to international and national decision makers and actively disseminate this information to those users.

The proposed Global Environmental Alert Service (GEAS) will provide information emanating from monitoring, Earth observing and early warning systems to users in a near-real-time mode and bridge the gap between the scientific community and policy makers. Characteristics and operational aspects of such a service, GEAS, are discussed.     

固体推进剂使用寿命快速预测探索研究

研究了活化能法快速预测推进剂使用寿命，结果表明，点斜法与常规加速老化方法结果基本一致，两点法（７０℃、５０℃）预测结果最接近。提出用动态法求活化能用于点斜法进行快速寿命预测。     

HS—19型肖氏硬度计故障分析

从结构原理来分析故障的产生、发展、现象以及产生故障的排除方法。