线谱对(LSP)分析在G.729语音编码算法中的应用

本文介绍了线谱对(Linear Spectrum Pair,LSP)分析的基本原理及其在G.729中的应用,同时分析比较了LSP参数与常用的线性预测系数LPC的区别,仿真结果表明,LSP参数的抗干扰能力远比LPC系数的抗干扰能力强。     

PREDICTION OF MECHANICAL PROPERTY OF WHISKER REINFORCED METAL MATRIX COMPOSITE: PART-Ⅰ. MODEL AND FORMULATION

Based on study of strain distribution in whisker reinforced metal matrix composites, an explicit precise stiffness tensor is derived. In the present theory, the effect of whisker orientation on the macro property of composites is considered, but the effect of random whisker position and the complicated strain field at whisker ends are averaged. The derived formula is able to predict the stiffness modulus of composites with arbitrary whisker orientation under any loading condition. Compared with the models of micro-mechanics, the present theory is competent for modulus prediction of actual engineering composites. The verification and application of the present theory are given in a subsequent paper published in the same issue.     

NASA在声振领域研究的新成果

近年来在航天工业中声振已产生了许多重要进展。本文介绍了在NASA格伦研究中心所完成的工程项目中在声振领域取得的一些成果。     

基于MCMC的PLP未来强度的Bayesian预测分析

在无信息先验分布下，将Gibbs抽样与Metropolis-Hastings算法相结合的方法应用于幂律过程的未来强度的Bayesian预测。该预测方法能将时间截尾数据和失效截尾数据统一分析，并给出在未来某一时刻处强度函数的MCMC样本，利用该样本可以方便地获得关于未来某一时处刻强度函数及其函数的各种后验分析。一个经典工程数值算例说明了预测方法的可行性、合理性与有效性。     

A new approach to solar cycle forecasting

We describe a novel approach for determining the timing of the solar cycle and tracking its evolution relative to other cycles. This method also has predictive capability for forecasting the cycle “onset.” Based on current trends, we expect that Cycle 23 will be about 1 year longer than the previous two cycles.     

基于健康监测的飞机结构寿命预测技术

飞机结构健康监测技术在飞机的结构设计、飞行及维护过程中发挥着重要作用,该技术可用于结构健康状况预判、辅助维修与维护决策。本文首先介绍了当前结构健康监测的概念及其适用范围,讨论了结构健康监测相关规范要求,以F-35 和A400M 为例分析了国外飞机结构健康监测技术的典型工程案例,并给出了典型飞机单机跟踪和寿命控制、某老龄飞机载荷谱实测及寿命预测,讨论了基于裂纹的监测方法研究及限制其应用的主要因素。在此基础上,提出了飞机结构健康监测系统设计的主要思路,给出了寿命预计的基本流程,阐述了其中控制点选择、飞参筛选、载荷/应变方程构建、损伤计算及寿命评估、结果输出及方程验证等主要环节。最后,对航空领域未来开展结构健康监测智能化研究进行了展望。     

Using PoF models to predict system reliability considering failure collaboration

Existing Physics-of-Failure-based (PoF-based) system reliability prediction methods are grounded on the independence assumption, which overlooks the dependency among the compo-nents. In this paper, a new type of dependency, referred to as failure collaboration, is introduced and considered in reliability predictions. A PoF-based model is developed to describe the failure behavior of systems subject to failure collaboration. Based on the developed model, the Bisection-based Reliability Analysis Method (BRAM) is exploited to calculate the system reliabil-ity. The developed methods are applied to predicting the reliability of a Hydraulic Servo Actuator (HSA). The results demonstrate that the developed methods outperform the traditional PoF-based reliability prediction methods when applied to systems subject to failure collaboration.     

正态单元的双边可靠性Bayes近似下限的计算方法

提出了正态单元双边可靠性性的Ｂａｙｅｓ近似下限的计算方法，该方法的精度高于经典法且偏保守。最后给出了若干实例的计算结果。     

伽玛分布环境因子估计

研究了二参数伽玛分布环境因子的估计。根据伽玛分布的特点,指数分布环境因子的定义,并考虑数据折算的方便,给出了伽玛分布环境因子的定义。根据此定义,用经典方法、贝叶斯方法和Fiducial 方法推证了环境因子的上、下限,并给出了一些近似式。     

常规载荷与振动环境共同作用下导弹接头吊耳的疲劳寿命计算

针对导弹接头吊耳在常规载荷和振动环境共同作用下产生的疲劳问题,提出了一种结构疲劳寿命预测方法。首先,基于两种载荷作用下金属材料的疲劳失效特征共性,建立了对应载荷下两种疲劳损伤的累加规则;其次,采用Miner理论和Dirlik模型分别计算两种载荷下结构的疲劳损伤值;最后,通过对两种疲劳损伤的综合计算,建立了结构疲劳寿命的预测方法。使用该方法对导弹接头吊耳在两种载荷共同作用下的疲劳寿命进行了分析计算。