A simplified approach to uncertainty quantification for orbits in impulsive deflection scenarios

For the majority of near-Earth Asteroid (NEA) impact scenarios, optimal deflection strategies use a massive impactor or a nuclear explosive, either of which produce an impulsive change to the orbit of the object. However, uncertainties regarding the object composition and the efficiency of the deflection event lead to a non-negligible uncertainty in the deflection delta-velocity. Propagating this uncertainty through the resulting orbit will create a positional uncertainty envelope at the original impact epoch. We calculate a simplified analytic evolution for impulsively deflected NEAs and perform a full propagation of uncertainties that is nonlinear in the deflection delta-velocity vector. This provides an understanding of both the optimal deflection velocities needed for a given scenario, as well as the resulting positional uncertainty and corresponding residual impact probability. Confidence of a successful deflection attempt as a function of launch opportunities is also discussed for a specific case.     

Real-time evaluation method of flight mission load based on sensitivity analysis of physiological factors

As the complexity of flight missions continues to increase, sending a timely warning or providing assistance to pilots helps to reduce the probability of operational errors and flight accidents. Monitoring pilots’ physiological data, real-time evaluation of mission load is a feasible technical way to achieve this. In this paper, a set of flight tasks including aircraft control, humancomputer interaction and mental arithmetic tests are designed to simulate five mission loads at different flight d...     

软件可靠性之定量评估方法研究

基于对多种软件可靠性模型的分析,并结合工程软件之特点,提出一种工程软件适用的可靠性定量评估方法,并将其应用于某航天工程软件的可靠性评估。实践表明,本方法简单、可行,对其它领域的软件可靠性评估同样具有参考价值。     

Mission segment division of the whole aeroengine loading spectrum based on flight actions

This paper studies on a division method of the whole aeroengine loading spectrum flight mission segment and rotor speed mission segment, which is based on the actual flight actions and related to the flight operations of aeroengine and is suitable for the variable-speed aeroengines such as turbojet and turbofan. Through the research, the aeroengine loading spectrum operation-related mission segments can be divided, which can provide important data basis for the life research on the structures wh...     

国际空间站智能在轨运行进展及启示

空间站作为近地空间的大型平台,具备长期飞行与空间科学探索能力.随着在轨任务的不断增加,高效空间站在轨运行管理成为挑战性的难题.人工智能与航天技术的深度融合,使得空间站在轨运行逐步向智能化发展,航天器在轨运行智能化已成为必然趋势.本文对国际空间站（International Space Station,ISS）在轨智能化发展历程进行了深入分析,调研人工智能技术在其健康管理、任务规划与调度、任务操作和人机交互中的应用,以期对未来中国空间站的智能在轨运行提供启示.      

空间目标探测与识别雷达工作频段与体制选择探讨

根据空间目标探测与识别雷达的任务要求,通过对雷达搜索、扫描、探测、多目标处理能力、分辨率的技术分析与经济性比较,给出了空间目标探测与识别雷达工作频段与体制选择的参考性结论。     

航天飞控软件操作概图开发

航天飞控软件是具有高可靠性要求的软件系统,对其进行可靠性测试是航天飞控任务的基本要求。操作概图是进行软件可靠性测试的基础。由于开发大型软件系统的操作概图比较复杂,使其成为了制约开展软件可靠性测试的主要困难之一。本文以地面航天飞控软件为例,介绍了实时飞控软件操作概图的开发步骤和方法。首先是确定软件系统的操作模式,并确定每个操作模式所运行的相关软件;然后给出了识别每个软件的操作发起者和操作方法;最后对不同类型的操作给出了确定其发生概率的方法。     

Launch and Early Operation of the MESSENGER Mission

On August 3, 2004, at 2:15 a.m. EST, the MESSENGER mission to Mercury began with liftoff of the Delta II 7925H launch vehicle and 1,107-kg spacecraft including seven instruments. MESSENGER is the seventh in the series of NASA Discovery missions, the third to be built and operated by The Johns Hopkins University Applied Physics Laboratory (JHU/APL) following the Near Earth Asteroid Rendezvous (NEAR) Shoemaker and Comet Nucleus Tour (CONTOUR) missions. The MESSENGER team at JHU/APL is using efficient operations approaches developed in support of the low-cost NEAR and CONTOUR operations while incorporating improved approaches for reducing total mission risk. This paper provides an overview of the designs and operational practices implemented to conduct the MESSENGER mission safely and effectively. These practices include proven approaches used on past JHU/APL operations and new improvements implemented to reduce risk, including adherence to time-proven standards of conduct in the planning and implementation of the mission. This paper also discusses the unique challenges of operating in orbit around Mercury, the closest planet to the Sun, and what specific measures are being taken to address those challenges.     

Practical guidelines for electro-dynamic tethers to survive from orbital debris impacts

Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) has proposed an active debris removal using electro-dynamic tether to reduce large space debris in the low-Earth orbit. However, a tether strand is thin but long enough to have a large area so that it is vulnerable to small particles. This vulnerability might be the weakest point of a tether system against orbital debris. In order to overcome this weakest point, a double tether system, in which two tether strands are tied together at even intervals to form equally spaced loops, has been suggested as one of the promising candidates. This paper provides a mathematical approach to estimate the survival probability of a double tether system and then apply the approach to evaluate the mission success rate of the active debris removal using electro-dynamic tether that JAXA has proposed. It can be concluded the countermeasure to get enough success rate can be obtained. The result is simulated for Advanced Earth Observing Satellite II (ADEOS-II) re-entry from 800 km sun synchronized orbit to atmosphere. The simulation shows that mission success rate over 90% can be obtained with number of loops over 1000 and 10 mm clearance between two strands.     

核热推进载人火星探测方案设计

针对载人火星探测任务，结合我国现有技术基础，提出我国载人火星探测方案，重点研究载人火星探测任务推进系统的设计。首先，综合考虑载人深空探测任务的约束，采用Pork-Chop图设计了适用于不同任务场景的转移轨迹；然后，参考我国空间站技术，基于核热推进系统设计了我国载人火星探测任务的飞船；最后，对核热推进系统的发动机台数和推力进行了优化，得到了适用于不同任务场景的最优推进系统组合方案。本文所研究内容为我国未来载人火星探测任务提供了有益参考。